Spatially extended discrete models for epidemic spread

Jose A Verdasca
Centro de Fisica Teorica e Computacional , Universidade de Lisboa

This is the abstract of a talk prepared for the Oeiras Mathematical and Computational Biology Workshop. June 20, 2003, Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência

Abstract: We discuss epidemic modeling in a spatial context while reviewing some of the accomplishments and shortcomings of mean-field models. We present results of a cellular automata model with both local and long-range infection that displays self-sustained oscillations associated with waves of infection. This calls for a reevaluation of the role of environmental forcing. Finally, we address future developments of computer simulations in epidemiology.

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Last Modified: June 16, 2003